SPN as a tool for risk modeling of fires in process industries

CATEGORY: RISK ASSESSMENT
SPN as a tool for risk modeling of fires in process industries

Type	Journal Article
Author	Ondřej Grunt
Author	Radim Briš
URL	http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095042301500039X
Volume	34
Pages	72-81
Publication	Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries
Date	March 2015
Abstract	Authors present modeling the risk to safety of personnel on an offshore hydrocarbon production facility following hydrocarbon leak. As survival of personnel during hydrocarbon leak depends on numerous time-dependent events like fire escalation and gas cloud explosion, an extension of Petri Nets, Stochastic Petri Nets, was chosen as a suitable modeling tool. Event descriptions and model construction were based on realistic data from an offshore industry. Resulting probabilities of fatality following hydrocarbon leak were computed using Petri Nets module of GRIF software. Obtained probabilities were then compared with event tree and Direct Monte Carlo method results.